Modelling Expert to Support the Indonesian Energy Modelling System - Jakarta
Indonesia currently has 6% renewable energy in the primary energy mix, but has a policy target to increase this to 23% by year 2025. Additionally, Indonesia is striding to increase electrification, since currently only 84% of the population have access to electricity.
Since 2013, the Danish Embassy has through the Environmental Support Programme 3 (ESP3) supported the Directorate General of New, Renewable Energy and Energy Conservation under the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (MEMR) in i.a. promoting the use of renewable energy. Further, a Memorandum of Understanding between Indonesia and Denmark was signed in October 2015 with the purpose of strengthening the Indonesian and Danish energy sector cooperation - not least through a new Strategic Sector Cooperation, SSC. The SSC has three main work streams energy modelling, integration of renewable energy and energy efficiency.
The SSC is a three year programme from 2016-2018, which involves a component on energy modelling and energy planning where Denmark is contributing with technical assistance, policy assistance and practical experiences. On the energy modelling this include support to strengthen the energy planning methodologies, methods, models and approach to data.
The National Energy Council (NEC) is tasked with the preparation of an Annual Energy Outlook, which shall provide direction for government and stakeholders in the Indonesian Energy System. The NEC already has both models and modelling capability and uses the LEAP model – a well-established planning tool, which can provide a comprehensive overarching view of the current and future energy system, and which can support scenario analyses hereof. In a future with increasing penetration of variable renewables, issues regarding power system balancing and renewable power integration must be considered as a part of the energy planning. This is a blind spot for many models such as LEAP. The Danish Energy Agency (DEA) through the SSC will assist NEC in establishing a modelling capacity and support such analyses with increasing renewable penetration. This calls for the introduction of fine grained models of the power system.
The DEA's experience with focus on energy data and with a combined use of planning tools will be useful for charting the course of Indonesia's energy system transformation.
One of the proposed improvements to the energy modelling in Indonesia will be the introduction of Balmorel. Balmorel is a power sector model with a flexibility that allows it to be used both for long-term optimal capacity expansion modelling, as well as short-term detailed hourly unit commitment and economic dispatch. It can and has been used in both regulated and restructured liberalized power markets. A core strength is a solid representation of all key technologies in the power system, including generation, consumption, storage, transmission and the challenges and opportunities of introducing fluctuating renewables has frequently been addressed by the model.
Denmark has extended knowledge about the combined use of planning tools and the asssessment of energy data. The assessment will therefore further assist the Indonesian modelling team in an evaluation of the current modelling system and assist also Indonesia's energy data office review the current energy data used in the models.
The consultant will assist DEA during a 5 day inception workshop on modelling as well as take active part in the formulation and implementation of the needed work and processes for implementing new modelling tools in Indonesia and strengthen the current energy modelling system. This involves the design of more detailed power systems modelling, consolidating energy data as well as the introduction of a light version of Balmorel. The output will be
A strengthened Indonesian Energy outlook and
A draft scenario analysis for the Indonesian renewable energy system up to 2050.
The consultancy services will require that the consultant is participating in the planning and execution of the modelling workshop in Jakarta from the 24-31 May and that the consultant furthermore will be present in Jakarta on a regularly basis from the 1 August 2016 to the 31 of December 2016.
Maximum budget: DKK 1,000,000
Deadline for applications: 11 May 2016 at 16:00, Danish Time
The standard application form should be used. Applications not using the standard form may be rejected. Applications received after the time limit shall be rejected.
Contact point: Royal Danish Embassy in Indonesia
Name of Programme Officer: Jacob Stensdal Hansen
Telephone of Programme Officer: +62 (21) 576 1478
Criteria for selection:
A minimum of three and a maximum of five applicants with references best suited for this assignment will be invited to submit a tender. The applicant must be a registered public accounting firm within Indonesian jurisdiction.