Support to Monitoring and Estimation of Energy Conservation Policies Impact
Support to Monitoring and Estimation of Energy Conservation Policies Impact - Indonesia
The Indonesian policy framework has incorporate obligation to do energy conservation efforts. Act No. 30/2007 on Energy states that national energy management must take into account energy conservation and shall be the responsibility of government, regional governments, businesses and the society. As derivatives of the Act is the Government Regulation No. 70/2009 on Energy Conservation that obliges energy management for large energy consumers ; and Government Regulation No. 79/2014 on National Energy Policy that states several GoI strategic energy targets, amongst them is the mandate to decrease energy intensity by 1 percent annually in 2015-2025.
In the Indonesian Energy Outlook 2015, the Government of Indonesia used Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) modeling to predict that Indonesian final energy consumption in Business-As-Usual (BAU) scenario will increase from 144 million TOE in 2014 into 1,049 million TOE in 2050 with growth rate of 5.7% per year.
In Efficiency (EFF) scenario, energy conservation and efficiency implementation from consumer side has reduced a significant final energy growth. In 2025, final energy demand could be reduced to 251 million TOE or saves 17% compared to in BaU scenario (302 million TOE) . The saving is equivalent to 36% from the total final energy consumption in 2014. Final energy demand could be kept to 652 million TOE in 2050 in which energy saving reaches 397 million TOE or 38% compared to in BaU scenario. In High Efficiency (EFF_HIGH) scenario, the saving is higher. It reaches 25% in 2025 and 48% in 2050 or equivalent to 397 million TOE in 2025 and 506 million TOE of saving in 2050. The EFF scenario is adopted in the draft National Energy Plan (RUEN) thus would likely be the policy direction of energy conservation.
As changes in final energy demand is not only due to energy conservation policies and since the RUEN /EFF scenario is calling for enhanced energy conservation policies, the Indonesian Directorate General of New Renewable Energy and Energy Conservation ( EBTKE ) under the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources has been tasked with revising the National Energy Conservation Master Plan (RIKEN). The purpose of RIKEN is as a guideline for the Government, Provincial Government, District / City Government, employers and communities across sectors in implementing national energy conservation activities in the supply side of energy, exploitation of energy (transformation of energy), and energy utilization. The RIKEN will include roadmap for energy conservation to be implemented in the period 2015-2025, that could be divided into two stages: 2015-2019 and 2020-2025 .
In order to quantify the results that can be expected from new and existing policy that is to be part of RIKEN’s roadmap, EBTKE requests ESP3 support to estimate the change in final energy demand that can be attributed to individual energy conservation policies and/or actions. This information will contribute to better coordination, monitoring and reporting in energy conservation policies planning and implementation.
The objective of the consultancy is to estimate energy conservation policies effect, both existing and upcoming (an indicative list of policies that are expected to be analyzed will be outlined in the Term of Reference), using methods and monitoring tools agreed by stakeholders and enable EBTKE to have the results updated in the future. The tools will mainly developed using the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) modeling software which is used by the Government of Indonesia in developing the Indonesian Energy Outlook and RUEN.
The outputs would cover:
- Easy to use methodologies and monitoring and forecasting tools/models to quantify energy conservation policies effects in industries, buildings, transportation and appliances and prepare manuals on how to use these to enable EBTKE to update the results in the future.
- Estimation of future energy saving effects of each energy conservation policies using the tools developed as part of previous Output.
- Training and capacity building of EBTKE staff to enable them to use the monitoring and forecasting tools.
The outputs will be used by EBTKE to choose and/or prioritize the appropriate policy measures for the RIKEN, serve as the basis for decision by political decision makers and prepare the ground work for better integration of energy conservation policies in future updates of the RUEN using the LEAP model.
The expected consultancy duration is six months, with maximum input of 240 man-days and maximum budget of DKK 900,000 including reimbursables. The contract is expected to start in October 2016.
Deadline for applications: 12-09-2016, at 14:00, Danish time
The standard application form should be used. Applications not using the standard form may be rejected. Applications received after the deadline shall be rejected.
Contact point: Royal Danish Embassy in Indonesia.
Name of Programme Officer: Jacob Stensdal Hansen
Telephone of Programme Officer: +62 215761478
Criteria for selection:
A minimum of three and a maximum of five applicants with references best suited for this assignment will be invited to submit a tender.